Beyond "Maybe"

Precision in Business Communication

Learn to express certainty, probability, and impossibility in the present using the modals must, can't, may, might, and could. Practise applying them in real-world business scenarios to communicate with clarity and confidence.

Level: B1+ to B2 45 min self-study Interactive exercises
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What You Will Learn

This mini-course focuses on modal verbs for making logical deductions about the present: must, might, may, could, can't. You will learn how to express what you believe is true, possible, or impossible based on evidence and reasoning.

Who Is This Course For?

This course is for intermediate learners who want to express their reasoning and conclusions in English naturally. Whether you are analysing a business situation, interpreting a colleague's behaviour, or drawing conclusions from evidence, deduction modals allow you to communicate your thinking with precision.

This course can be studied independently or as a companion to Modal Verbs for Negotiation. Same words, completely different function.

Deduction vs Negotiation: What Is the Difference?

Negotiation modals are about politeness and strategy. They control how you say something. For example: "We must finalize the contract before Friday" = expressing a strong obligation or requirement.

Deduction modals are about logic and reasoning. They express what you conclude about a situation. For example: "She must be the manager" = a logical conclusion based on evidence.

The same modal verbs, but a completely different function.

Course Structure

1 Discover the Meaning: analyse real examples with context clues
2 Study the Form: learn the structure and common mistakes
3 Practise Pronunciation: hear how certainty and doubt sound in speech
4 Controlled Practice: quizzes, gap fills, and matching exercises
5 Speaking Practice: real-world scenarios for making deductions
+ Advanced: distinguishing deduction from obligation, plus adverb combinations

Stage 1: Discover the Meaning

Read these examples. Pay attention to the evidence and how each modal verb expresses a different level of certainty.

Examples in Context

a) "She must be the manager. She is giving instructions to everyone."

100% logical certainty: the speaker is sure based on evidence

b) "He can't be serious. That price is ridiculous."

100% logical impossibility: the speaker is sure it is NOT true

c) "They might be stuck in traffic. The meeting started 20 minutes ago."

50% possibility: the speaker is guessing, not sure

d) "She may be working from home today. Her office is empty."

50% possibility: a reasonable guess based on what the speaker observes

e) "He could be at lunch. I saw him leave about an hour ago."

50% possibility: one of several possible explanations

f) "The line must be busy. It keeps going to voicemail."

100% logical certainty: repeated evidence supports this conclusion

g) "They can't be finished already. They only started an hour ago."

100% logical impossibility: the evidence makes this impossible

h) "The CEO might be planning a restructure. There have been a lot of private meetings."

50% possibility: speculation based on indirect evidence

The Certainty Scale

Deduction modals express three levels of certainty about the present:

must be
100% sure
(logical conclusion)
may be
50% possible
(reasonable guess)
might be
50% possible
(less sure)
could be
50% possible
(one option of many)
can't be
0% sure
(logically impossible)
certain ←→ impossible

Answer the questions

Think about each question. Then click the answer you think is correct.

1. "She must be the manager. She is giving instructions to everyone."
How certain is the speaker?
Very certain: the evidence supports this conclusion
Not sure: just making a guess
Obligated: it is her duty to be the manager
Correct. "Must be" here expresses a logical deduction, not an obligation. The speaker sees evidence (she is giving instructions) and draws a confident conclusion.
2. "He can't be serious. That price is ridiculous."
What does "can't be" express here?
He is unable to be serious (ability)
The speaker is sure this is NOT true (logical impossibility)
The speaker is asking for permission
Correct. "Can't be" expresses a strong logical deduction that something is impossible. The evidence (ridiculous price) makes the speaker certain he is not serious.
3. "They might be stuck in traffic." vs "The line must be busy."
What is the difference in certainty?
Both express the same level of certainty
"Might" is more certain than "must"
"Must" is much more certain. "Might" is just one possibility
Correct. "Must be" expresses near certainty (the speaker has strong evidence), while "might be" expresses just one of several possibilities.
4. "She may be working from home." and "He could be at lunch."
Are these different levels of certainty?
No: may, might, and could all express roughly 50% possibility
Yes: "may" is much more certain than "could"
Yes: "could" is much more certain than "may"
Correct. In practice, may, might, and could all express a similar level of possibility (around 50%). The differences are very subtle: "may" can feel slightly more formal, while "could" emphasises it is one option among several.

Stage 2: Study the Form

Now that you understand the meaning, learn how to build sentences with deduction modals correctly.

Structure

The basic pattern for deduction modals in the present:

Subject Modal be Complement
She must be the manager. (noun)
He can't be serious. (adjective)
They might be stuck in traffic. (adjective phrase)
She may be working from home. (verb-ing)
He could be at lunch. (prepositional phrase)
Key pattern: Subject + must/can't/might/may/could + be + adjective / noun / verb-ing. The word "be" is essential in deduction structures.

Negative Forms: Be Careful

This is one of the most common mistakes learners make:

Meaning Correct Incorrect
I am sure it is NOT true He can't be at work. He mustn't be at work.
Maybe it is not true She might not be ready. She can't be ready. (too strong)
Remember: For negative deduction, use can't be (strong: impossible) or might not be / may not be (weak: possibly not). Do NOT use "mustn't be" for deduction. "Mustn't" is used for prohibition/obligation. For example: "You mustn't park here" = obligation (a rule), not a deduction.

Full Reference Table

Modal Certainty Example
must be 100% certain (positive) "She must be tired. She worked 12 hours."
can't be 100% certain (negative) "He can't be 60. He looks so young."
may be ~50% possible (neutral) "She may be on holiday this week."
might be ~50% possible (slightly less sure) "He might be looking for a new job."
could be ~50% possible (one of several options) "It could be a technical problem."
might not be ~50% possibly not "She might not be aware of the change."
may not be ~50% possibly not "They may not be ready for the launch."

Stage 3: Practise Pronunciation

How you say a deduction matters as much as the words you choose. Listen to the stress and intonation patterns.

Stress Patterns for Certainty

When we are certain (must/can't), the modal and the key word both receive strong stress. The intonation falls.

"She MUST be the MANAGER."

Strong falling intonation on MUST and MANAGER = confidence

"He CAN'T be SERIOUS."

Strong stress on CAN'T and SERIOUS = disbelief

"The line MUST be BUSY."

Falling intonation = the speaker is confident in this conclusion

Stress Patterns for Uncertainty

When we are uncertain (might/may/could), the modal is often unstressed. The intonation can rise slightly, reflecting doubt.

"They might be stuck in TRAFFIC."

"Might" is lighter, stress falls on TRAFFIC. Slight rise at the end = not fully sure.

"She may be working from HOME."

"May" is soft, main stress on HOME. The speaker is guessing.

"He could be at LUNCH."

"Could" is light, stress on LUNCH. This is one possible explanation of many.

"She might not be READY."

"Might not" is gentle. This expresses doubt, not certainty.

General rule: Falling intonation = certainty (must, can't). Rising or flat intonation = uncertainty (might, may, could). The more confident you are, the stronger the stress on the modal.

Stage 4: Controlled Practice

Test your understanding with these exercises. Choose the correct modal, fill the gaps, and match situations to deductions.

Exercise 1

Choose the correct modal

Read the situation and choose the best modal of deduction.

1. Your colleague's office is dark and locked. She _____ be on holiday.
must
might
can't
The office is dark AND locked. Two strong pieces of evidence = confident conclusion. "Must be" is the best answer.
2. A client calls at 3 AM your time. He _____ know what time zone you are in.
must
might
can't
Calling at 3 AM is strong evidence he does NOT know your time zone. "Can't" expresses logical impossibility (he surely does not know).
3. Your boss has been in a meeting all morning. She _____ be free now. Why not check?
must
might
can't
"Why not check?" tells us the speaker is not certain. The meeting may or may not be over. "Might" expresses possibility, not certainty.
4. The project report is 200 pages long. It _____ be easy to read in one afternoon.
must
may
can't
200 pages is very strong evidence that reading it in one afternoon is impossible. "Can't be" expresses this logical impossibility.
5. The new employee speaks four languages fluently. She _____ be very intelligent.
must
could
can't
Speaking four languages fluently is strong evidence. The speaker draws a confident conclusion: "must be" very intelligent.
6. Nobody has answered the phone for an hour. The office _____ be closed.
can't
could
must
No answer for an hour could mean many things: they could be in a meeting, on break, or closed. "Could" is best here because it is one possible explanation among several.
Exercise 2

Gap Fill

Complete each sentence with the correct modal: must, can't, might, may, could. Think about the evidence and the level of certainty.

1. "Look at those dark clouds. It be about to rain."

Strong evidence: dark clouds

2. "She has not replied to my email. She be on holiday."

Possible explanation, but not certain

3. "He finished the marathon in under 3 hours. He be very fit."

Strong evidence: finishing a marathon quickly

4. "That restaurant be any good. It is always empty."

Strong evidence against: always empty

5. "Sarah is not at her desk. She be in a meeting."

One possible explanation

6. "He is wearing a very expensive suit. He be quite wealthy."

Reasonable logical conclusion

7. "They be twins. They look completely different."

Strong evidence against: completely different appearance

8. "I heard some noise upstairs. It be the cat."

Possible, but not certain

Exercise 3

Match the Situation to the Deduction

For each situation, choose the most appropriate deduction.

Situation: Your colleague always stays until 8 PM and volunteers for extra projects.
Which deduction fits best?
She might be ambitious.
She must be very dedicated.
She can't be enjoying her work.
Staying late AND volunteering for projects is strong evidence. "Must be" fits because the evidence is consistent and strong.
Situation: The CEO just bought a new car and went on an expensive holiday.
Which deduction fits best?
He can't be doing well financially.
He could be quite wealthy.
He must be doing well financially.
A new car AND an expensive holiday are strong, combined evidence. "Must be" is the logical conclusion here.
Situation: A job candidate claims to have 10 years of experience, but cannot answer basic questions in the interview.
Which deduction fits best?
He can't be telling the truth about his experience.
He must be very experienced.
He might be the best candidate.
10 years of experience but cannot answer basic questions? The evidence strongly contradicts the claim. "Can't be" expresses that it is logically impossible.

Stage 5: Speaking Practice

Look at each scenario. Make at least 2 or 3 deductions about the situation using must, might, may, could, or can't. Then listen to the example answer.

Scenario Prompts

1
A colleague arrives late every morning this week, looks stressed, and has been taking private phone calls.
Make 3 deductions about what is happening.
2
Your boss's office light is on at 10 PM on a Friday night.
What do you think is happening? Use must, might, and can't.
3
A restaurant in your area is always packed, and people queue outside even in the rain.
What must be true about this restaurant?
4
Your client has not replied to three emails in two weeks. Normally they reply within a day.
Use at least 3 different modals to speculate about the reason.
5
A new startup has raised $50 million in funding and is hiring 200 people.
What deductions can you make about this company?
6
A colleague who never speaks in meetings suddenly gave a 20-minute presentation confidently.
What changed? Make deductions using must, might, could.

Stage 6: Advanced

The final challenge: distinguishing deduction from obligation, combining modals with adverbs, and analysing context.

Must: Deduction or Obligation?

The word "must" has two completely different meanings. Context is the key to understanding which one is used.

Sentence Function How to Tell
"You must wear a helmet." Obligation = It is a rule. You are required to do this.
"She must be the manager." Deduction = I am almost sure, based on evidence (she is giving instructions).
"You must submit the report by Friday." Obligation = There is a deadline. It is required.
"He must be tired after that flight." Deduction = The evidence (long flight) supports this logical conclusion.
Quick test: Can you add "be + adjective/noun" after must? If yes, it is probably deduction. "Must be tired" = deduction. "Must submit" = obligation (base verb, not "be").
Exercise

Deduction or Obligation?

Read each sentence and decide: is "must" used for deduction or obligation?

"You must be exhausted after that 14-hour shift."
Deduction (logical conclusion)
Obligation (rule or requirement)
Deduction. "Must be exhausted" = the speaker draws a conclusion based on evidence (14-hour shift). Nobody is telling you that you are required to be exhausted.
"All employees must complete the safety training by March."
Deduction (logical conclusion)
Obligation (rule or requirement)
Obligation. "Must complete" = a requirement with a deadline. Note the structure: must + base verb (complete), not must + be.
"This must be the wrong address. There is no building here."
Deduction (logical conclusion)
Obligation (rule or requirement)
Deduction. "Must be the wrong address" = the speaker looks at the evidence (no building) and draws a logical conclusion.
"Visitors must sign in at reception before entering the building."
Deduction (logical conclusion)
Obligation (rule or requirement)
Obligation. "Must sign in" = a rule that visitors are required to follow. Structure: must + base verb (sign in).

Combining with Adverbs

You can add adverbs to make your deductions more precise:

Structure Example Effect
must definitely be "She must definitely be the one in charge." Strengthens certainty even more
could possibly be "It could possibly be a software bug." Adds more doubt / tentativeness
might well be "They might well be right about the deadline." Slightly raises possibility (closer to "probably")
could easily be "This could easily be the best product launch." Emphasises the reasonableness of this possibility
Advanced Exercise

Complete the Mini-Dialogues

Fill in the gaps with the most appropriate modal: must, can't, might, may, could.

A: "James has been in the office since 6 AM."

B: "He be preparing for the quarterly review. It be easy to manage that much data."

A: "Did you notice Lisa has been smiling all day?"

B: "She have received some good news. She be getting the promotion she applied for."

A: "The IT department has cancelled all meetings today."

B: "There be a major system issue. They be dealing with a security breach."

A: "Our competitor just dropped their prices by 40%."

B: "That be sustainable in the long term. They be trying to undercut us before the new product launch."

Continue Learning

Now that you have mastered modals of deduction, explore how the same modal verbs work in a completely different context:

Modal Verbs for Negotiation →
English Energy: Full Course →